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REVISITING THE MORTGAGE CRISIS

By
Neal Boortz
@ January 13, 2009 8:26 AM
Permalink | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)

As our economy trudges along, researchers are starting to look back and make sense of it all. One thing we know for sure .. it was the mortgage meltdown that led to this economic crisis. But researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York are now saying that one of the main triggers of the mortgage meltdown was the 2005 bankruptcy reform act. Originally drafted in 1997 and pocket vetoed under President Clinton, it took until 2005 to get the darn thing passed, after years of lobbying from the credit card industry.

Basically, this legislation shifted the burden of risk from credit card lenders to mortgage lenders, which inevitably led to a surge in home foreclosures. You see, before the law was passed, households could erase any unsecured debts by filing for Chapter 7 liquidation. This would give them enough disposable income to use to make mortgage payment. But the new law forced "better-off households" to file Chapter 13 if seeking bankruptcy protection, which would require them to continue paying unsecured lenders.

So people who before could have saved their homes by filing Chapter 7 were now much more likely to face foreclosure because they would be forced to file Chapter 13. The law's original intent seems to be to trap high-income debtors from abusing bankruptcy .. but instead, it hurt "ordinary American families in serious financial distress." Yeah ... it hurt them by forcing them to try to figure out a way to pay their bills. Oh, the humanity!

From my experience practicing law I can tell you that under the old law someone would be allowed to run up $40,000 or more of credit card debt, waltz into bankruptcy court, promise to pay those credit card debts off at 5 cents on the dollar, and a bankruptcy judge would rule that the debtor was making a "good faith effort" to satisfy his obligations. What a joke.

The conclusion from these researches at the Federal Reserve Bank is that the new law increased the number of people who were defaulting on mortgages or just walking away from their homes, rather than seeking bankruptcy protection.

Here's a clearer picture of what was going on. Ten years ago I owned quite a few rental homes. Someone would come along to look at the house. I would tell them the rent was, for example, $1,500 a month and that I required a $500 deposit. They would then tell me that I was out of my mind because they could go down the street and buy pretty much the same house with no money down, no closing costs, and with their adjustable rate mortgage their payments would be lower than what I was asking in rent! So ... I sold my rental homes. Bottom line? Those people who went for their no money down, no closing costs, adjustable rate mortgaged homes were not cut out to be home owners. They were renters, pure and simple. These are the people that defaulted on those loans when the payments started going on ... and here we are today.

Now ... doesn't that make so much more sense than blaming this on bankruptcy courts forcing people to pay their bills? Yeah, I thought so.



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What others are saying

  • Walking away can make good financial sense
    Don't forget that there are also thousands of homes being foreclosed on where the homeowner was being savvy about the mortgage contract.

    There's a clause in most mortgages that says once the bank takes possession of the house through foreclosure, the homeowner has no more responsibility to the mortgage. The mortgage is treated as settled from that point.

    If you have a $300,000 outstanding balance on your mortgage, and the housing bubble where you live bursts, and suddenly that $375,000 house only appraises for $250,000. You're $50K upside down on the mortgage. If you sell the house and move to something more affordable, you still carry that $50,000 "negative equity" to your next mortgage - unless you've got the cash on hand to cover it. Who knows how long it will take the market to recover that kind of value for you, if it ever does.

    Or you could walk away from the house. You stop paying your mortgage, and 8 months later when the bank is finally able to foreclose and kick you out, they take possession of the house, and the mortgage is satisfied. That $50,000 you were upside-down on the loan just disappears.

    Your credit gets dinged with a forclosure, but you just saved yourself the $50,000 AND if you were smart and put your mortgage payments into your savings account over those 8 months, you may even have an additional $20,000 cash that you wouldn't have had otherwise. You just cut your losses on the mortgage by $70,000. Quite frankly, that can be a financially smart move.

    The foreclosure on your credit report will hurt for a while, yes, but with as many as are happening these days, it probably won't hurt as bad as it used to. People will just figure you got caught up in the whole foreclosure mess like hundreds of thousands of other people. Hey, stuff happens - right? You've still god a good job and a good income and will likely still be able to rent a very nice apartment to live in until you can secure a new home mortgage.
  • It was the whole picture
    Step 1: Mortgage and banks companies where writing bad loans.

    Step 2: people were buying too much house. When energy prices went up, then gasoline, then food, budgets got squeezed
    Step 3: People started filing Ch 7 in order to keep thier house and try stay aflaot. The smart ones also got out of thier too much house and or changed their spending habits.

    Step 4: Banks wanted something back for being arm twisted into bad loans that were causing more credit card write offs than they liked. ( they were still doing well)

    Step: 5 Ch 7 reform. This is were the accouting comes in. If I have two debts one with really interst and fixed rate that is being serviced, and a loan with really high interst fees charges, that i also force merchants to take a discount on from at the front end; by the time that loan default I ,ost likely have alrady recapped 2/3 of the principal. With Ch 7 reform poeple can no longer walk on the loans the the pricipal is kinda inflated by the high rates and fees, still stuck with too much mortgage debt, then they walk on the mortgage debt which carries a muh higher loss percentage.

    Setp 6: Major melt down.

    It was due to lobbist and goverment interfereing in the free market.

    But I agree the Ch 7 reform 3was needed put as written it gave too much to the banks. They got exactly what they asked for.
  • Economic crisis
    I say Bush was mislead and lied to by Cox, Paulson, Bernacke and others. They took advantage of his preocupation with the war and and national security, and told him everything was okay. It was so huge and horrendous a mess no could fess up. Many were getting rich in the meantime, hoping they could bail out before it hit the fan. These are smart men and they and Wall Street knew for years what was going on. Meanwhile Democrats had their heads up their behinds plotting the next election. Don't trust the Government! No more! No how!
  • Foreclosures & Bankruptcy
    I am a practicing attorney. I concentrate on real estate, but file some bankruptcies as well.

    I have received numerous calls from people who are facing or are in foreclosure. Most had "$0 down" loans and payments that did not meet traditional income to debt ratios. In talking to them, they simply did not realize that a house payment is just the beginning of the cost of home ownership. Insurance and taxes always go up. Then a water heater or roof needs to be replaced, and they cannot pay for it. Last year's high gasoline prices were a big factor as well.

    I would also note that very few people who file bankruptcy are forced into a Ch 13. A person is only denied a Ch 7 if his or her income is greater than the average income for the state or for the Bankruptcy Court district in which they live, given the the size of their household. Even then, exceptions are regularly granted.

    It is my observation that the greatest factors in the current financial difficulty (other than buying too much house for their income) are the high gas prices this summer and the Democrats constant drum beet that this is the worst economy since the Great Depression. People get scared and change their spending habits, resulting in a self-fulfilling statement.
  • Rewriting History
    By making it the fault of the bankruptcy laws then they can blame it on 2005: Bush, instead of 1995: Clinton.

    Can't they just admit it that they have all had a part in this debacle?????
  • What?
    Mortgage lenders are actually upset that an individual must make an attempt to pay their entire debt, and not just the portion owed on their mortgage.

    I want to design my own world also.....
  • Unsecured Debt
    I don't have a lot of sympathy for credit card compaies that get burned by people who don't pay their bills, due to bankrupcy or otherwise. It's called unsecured debt for a reason. If some company wants to run around loaning money to anybody who can write their name, I'm not going to cry for them when they don't get paid back. They're gambling and they lost.
  • Foreclosures & Economic Crisis
    Many issues played a hand, including relaxation of mortgage qualifications. That relaxation brought in those buying homes greater than 3 times their income (0 down, interest only, etc.) Although Neal is right in his point as to a big contributor, the change in the bankruptcy law makes sense. The law change was reasonable but came with a consequence. Neal is correct though that the buyers irresponsibility played a high role, but the law change was the trap door unloading the bad baggage.
  • Foreclosures
    This is the stupidest idea I've seen floated in a while. Foreclosures occurred when people earning $60K bought houses that cost $400K. In more sensible times, someone earning $60K - with good credit and a 20 percent down payment - could not buy a house over $180K (three times annual income). Period. But thanks in no small part to the Community Reinvestment Act, lenders were allowed or perhaps forced to relax the requirements to qualify for a mortgage. Somehow, someone must have missed the fact that the mortgage industry arrived at the previously observed formula through experience. So, now we have a bunch of people who thought they'd be able to flip a house they couldn't afford before the payments went up. Eventually, though, all pyramid schemes - and that's what this is - collapse. Now we have a spate of foreclosures, which will not abate until home prices return to affordable levels. And, BTW, the more the FEDS attempt to avoid that simple fact, the longer it will take to return to normal.
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